有這麼多的外匯交易策略在那裡,這並不奇怪這麼多人不知道從哪裡開始. 但實際上,, 所有這些戰略都是兩種不同的技術結合而成: 基本或技術分析.

一個基本的分析著眼於一個國家的整個金融圖片引導她交易, 研究國際宏觀經濟學和驅動的供應和需求的貨幣力量. 有這些因素5:

•是該國政府良好的財政狀況或紅色, 什麼是他們的財政政策 (親商, 勞動, 等等)

• the balance of imports versus exports, which directly affects a nation’s money supply

• the growth of that country’s real gross domestic product (國內生產總值); in other words, that nation’s purchasing power

• interest rate levels

• inflation level; in other words, how high are prices

These last three are all relative, which means they are compared to those same measurements for other countries to determine their strength or weakness, rather than considered as stand-alone numbers.

基本面分析師看所有這些因素,並平衡他們互相反對,以確定一個國家的貨幣是否升值或貶值. 當然, as the Forex market trades the currency of one nation against that of another, the fundamental analyst cannot simply study the economic picture of one country; she must study both of them, and then compare them to determine which paints a more compelling financial picture.

The technical analyst, 另一方面, looks only at the charts. He looks at the price of a currency pair (or any other commodity, such as oil prices or stocks) and sees how it has varied through time, examining the patterns it has drawn with an eye to predicting what it might do in the future.

Technical analysis is flexible. It works the same way in any market with charts (外匯, 個股, 商品, 等等). Once you learn how it’s done, you can apply it in other markets and get the same results.

基本面分析, 另一方面, is not flexible, because it looks at the economic data for each nation individually. The financial numbers for Great Britain, 畢竟, have nothing to do with those for Japan or New Zealand, and the fundamental analyst cannot take her studies to another market. She must study one currency pair and learn its two nations’ economies intimately if she is to be successful with this technique.

That said, fundamental analysis is good for understanding what ought to happen and for predicting the long-range trend of a currency pair. It’s also true that many profitable trades are made immediately after economic announcements, when savvy traders jump into the market while everyone else is still gasping over the numbers.

另一方面, technical analysis can give you a specific strategy for a trade, including entry and exit points and where to place your stops. It requires less time to learn than fundamental analysis, and works well for shorter trends and individual trades.

The most successful traders use a combination of these two techniques, combining chart analysis with the timing provided by economic announcements to get the best of both worlds.

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